Survivor Season 31: Scenarios & Jury Breakdowns

Based on the previews from last week, something wild is going to happen in this finale. Could we see a Final 4 for the first time in Survivor history? Could we see a tie for the winner? Both are very possible and reasonable; but because the unknown is just that… unknown, I am going to stick to the familiar and keep my scenarios a Final 3.

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With six players going into the finale, determining all the possible scenarios for the Final 3 is surely a daunting task. With a possibility of 18 Final 3 scenarios, I am going to pick two to analyze and do a jury break down. My choices are:

  1. The Final 3 Scenario I most want to see!
  2. The Final 3 Scenario I feel we will most likely see!

Our Final 6 are:

  1. Jeremy Collins (San Juan del Sur)
  2. Spencer Blesdoe (Cagayan)
  3. Kelley Wentworth (San Juan del Sur)
  4. Tasha Fox (Cagayan)
  5. Keith Nale (San Juan del Sur)
  6. Kimmi Kappenberg (Australia)

 

  1. Jeremy, Spencer, Kelley The Final 3 Scenario I most want to see!

Of the remaining players, I would love to see this combination in the finale! All three players have encompassed what a sole Survivor should be; someone who can outwit, outplay, and outlast the others. All three have made the coveted big moves, proven themselves in the challenges, and improved upon their performance from their first game. In my opinion, these three are most deserving of seats at the Final Tribal.

I know who I would want to see win, but in an effort to make an accurate prediction, let’s break down the jury.

  1. Kass McQuillenKelley. Kass would surely vote for Kelley, right? She may respect the game that Jeremy and Spencer have played, but I do not recall her having much of a connection with Jeremy and she certainly has history with Spencer that may not entice her to vote for him.
  2. Andrew Savage – Spencer. Andrew really liked Spencer when he was in the game and were surely vote for him in the final.
  3. Kelly Wiglesworth – Jeremy. As a competitor, Kelly has respect for fellow competitors. Even though Jeremy has not won a lot of challenges, he comes of competitive in nature and has played a pretty straight game which I believe Kelly would have respect for.
  4. Ciera Eastin – Kelley. Ciera would certainly vote for her fellow witch, right? Kelley has made big moves in the game which would garner respect from Ciera.
  5. Stephen Fishbach – Jeremy. Stephen’s tightest ally was Jeremy and Jeremy played an idol for Stephen. Spencer backstabbed Stephen and Stephen was never aligned with Kelley. This is really a no-brainer.
  6. Joe Anglim – Kelley. This is really a toss up between Jeremy and Kelley. We saw Joe have a connection with Kelley throughout the game. Even though Kelley didn’t trust Joe and helped vote him out- everyone voted Joe out. Joe seemed the most hurt by Spencer’s betrayal. I really didn’t see a huge connection between Joe and Jeremy, and Jeremy was aligned with Joe’s rival, Stephen.
  7. Abi-Maria Gomes – Kelley. Abi and Kelley worked together for a significant amount of time post-merge and Kelley did not have a hand in voting Abi out. Abi is surely still bitter so I can’t imagine Spencer or Jeremy attaining her vote.
  8. Kimmi Kappenberg – Jeremy. Kimmi has been pretty loyal to Jeremy the entire game. Depending on how she ‘goes out’, I believe her vote would likely go to Jeremy.
  9. Keith Nale – Kelley. It does not appear to me that Keith has a very close connection with Jeremy or Tasha. His vote would most likely go to Kelley as he has voted with her more than he has voted against her. Plus, they have that San Juan del Sur connection.
  10. Tasha Fox Jeremy. Without knowing exactly how Tasha would get to the jury, this prediction is difficult. But Tasha has shown the upmost loyalty to Jeremy, and I believe that her loyalty would stick in the vote for the million.

Predicted Winner: Kelley Wentworth (5-4-1)

2. Jeremy, Spencer, Tasha – The Final 3 Scenario I feel we will most likely see!

Of the six remaining players, I think this is the most likely scenario. These three are clearly working together, Jeremy still has an idol, and based on last week’s vote, they are in the numbers. Spencer can easily win immunity challenges, and as long as Kelley doesn’t idol one of them out, I think the road to the Final Three is nicely paved for Jeremy, Spencer, and Tasha.

  1. Kass McQuillen – Spencer. We certainly know that Kass’ vote would not go to Tasha! I believe she would be introspective enough to respect Spencer’s game and give him the vote for the million.
  2. Andrew Savage – Spencer. The same as above, Andrew likes Spencer, respects the game Spencer plays, and would surely give Spencer his vote.
  3. Kelly Wiglesworth – Jeremy. Kelly would stick to voting for Jeremy, just as in the scenario above. I do not think Tasha being in the Final 3 over Kelley would have any effect on her vote.
  4. Ciera Eastin – Jeremy. With no Kelley in the final 3, it is difficult to predict Ciera’s vote. However, we know she respects big moves, and Jeremy’s first idol play for Stephen and a possible second idol play to come may garner respect from Ciera.
  5. Stephen Fishbach – Jeremy. Again, Stephen’s closest alliance is Jeremy…
  6. Joe Anglim – Jeremy. Joe could go either Jeremy or Tasha, but I believe he will have more respect for Jeremy’s game.
  7. Abi-Maria Gomes – Spencer. Abi is a wild card here. If I hadn’t seen last week’s episode, I might have thought that Abi would give her vote to Tasha. However, Tasha excluded Abi from her conversation with Jeremy, and knowing Abi, that could lose Tasha the vote. I do not think Spencer had many issues with Abi and I believe he could attain her vote in the end.
  8. Kimmi Kappenberg – Jeremy. Just like I said above, Kimmi is going to stay loyal to Jeremy through and through.
  9. Keith Nale – Spencer. With no Kelley in the game, I believe Keith will have the most respect for the game that Spencer has played.
  10. Kelley Wentworth Jeremy. As a dominant player in this game, I believe that Kelley will respect the play of another dominant character in Jeremy. Her vote is surely a toss-up between Jeremy and Spencer, though.

Predicted Winner: Jeremy Collins (6-4-0)

Whatever happens, this was truly once of the best seasons of Survivor we have seen! I personally rank this season with the likes of Micronesia, Heroes vs Villains, and Cagayan. Even with the speculation of GOATS this season, I believe that each of the six remaining players deserves to be there.

Stay tuned for more Survivor blog fun in the off season!

Now, is it Wednesday, yet?

Until next time,

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Survivor Rankings- Season 31 Second Chances, Episode 13

So let me get this straight- WE only have two solid hours of episode remaining in Survivor Cambodia and we have six people still on the island? Are WE going to have 3 Tribal Councils plus a Final Tribal all within 2 hours of Survivor?? Or are WE going to have the rumored 4-person Final Tribal? What is going to happen!?

And which WE will prevail??

Either way, I’m excited about it and next Wednesday cannot come soon enough!

The things I am most excited about:

-We finally said goodbye to Abi-Maria. Abi is a wild card and more than slightly irritating most of the time. While I do not particularly understand why she was targeted this week with much bigger threats in the game, I’m sort of happy to see her go.

-Jeremy is in the numbers! Why is no one targeting this guy? He must be playing the picture-perfect social game. I don’t think Spencer made the right move in voting for Abi because he surely can’t beat Jeremy in the end- but Spencer’s blunder is a great thing for Jeremy Collins!

– Kelley and Jeremy still have idols. So not only are we going to have a jam-packed finale, we also have a chance of seeing two idol plays. Is it Wednesday, yet?

-Keith Nale is the lone vote for Tasha in the last Tribal Council, but can’t remember her name after the Reward Challenge in this episode. Oh my gosh, can we please get more Keith Nale on our screens??

-The All Girls Alliance was clearly a red herring. It would have been smart for the girls to stick to this plan because Jeremy and Spencer are huge end game threats, but clearly Tasha and Kimmi are very loyal to their boys and they did not go in that direction.

-Going back to Keith; he clearly thinks it is more plausible for people to believe that he was on Mars before he was in any Cambodian Temple. Again, Keith needs to be on our screens making confessionals at least once every 2 minutes.

-What was Tasha thinking? Tasha told Abi that she wanted to talk to Jeremy privately. Um- you don’t mess with Abi. Maybe Abi is out of the game, but does this move by Tasha hurt her chances in the jury? I certainly do not see her getting Abi’s vote. All we can hope for is that Abi goes crazy at Tribal and gives each of the final 3 (4??) a Sue Hawk speech.

-Spencer can solve a 5-piece puzzle in under 15 seconds. Spencer wins another immunity. It is all too easy for Spencer with Joe gone. And Jeff Probst might be in love with Spencer.

So let’s get right to the post-Episode 13 Player Rankings!

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Survivor Ranking 31

Pre-Merge Boot Order:

  1. Vytas Baskauskas (Ta Keo)
  2. Shirin Oskooi (Ta Keo)
  3. Peih-Gee Law (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  4. Jeff Varner (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  5. Monica Padilla (Bayon, Bayon)
  6. Terry Dietz (family emergency) (Ta Keo, Ta Keo)
  7. Woo Hwang (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo)

Post-Merge Boot Order, THE JURY:

  1. Kass McQuillen (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  2. Andrew Savage (Bayon, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  3. Kelly Wiglesworth (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  4. Ciera Eastin (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  5. Stephen Fishbach (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun)
  6. Joe Anglim (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun)
  7. Abi-Maria Gomes (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 7/7

Here are my power-ranking in order from least-likely to win to most-likely to win. These rankings are not intended to predict boot order.

I want to note here that I have read no spoilers and have no idea what the true outcome of the game will be.

6. Kimmi Kappenberg (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 5/7

Kimmi might make it to the end, but her chances of winning are slimmer each week. Kimmi will most likely be viewed as a GOAT and her lack of ‘big moves’ in the game will certainly not warrant many, if any, jury votes. Yes, she did orchestrate the blindside of Monica.. but that was so long ago that I barely remember it happening- and she has done basically  nothing post-merge.

5. Keith Nale (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 6/7

Keith is awesome and I want him to have screen time every minute of the episode. As far as Keith winning the game? Highly unlikely. The dude is totally a GOAT according to the other Survivors and his inability to correctly vote for the actually person going home will hurt his credibility.

4. Tasha Fox (Bayon, Angkor, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 4/7

Tasha had the opportunity to ditch the major threats in the game this week and go with an all-girls alliance. This surely would have been her best bet to win this game, aside from Kelley Wentworth. Aside from Tasha’s loyalty, what has she done in this game to win the million? Nothing that we have seen.

3. Spencer Blesdoe (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 3/7

There is clearly a very real chance of Spencer winning this game. He has some immunity wins under his belt, he has made huge moves (Fishbach and Joe blindsides), and he escaped being on the bottom at the very beginning of the season. But will the jury be bitter? Can he beat Jeremy and Kelley? It still depends on what he does next week, but as of now I am keeping him firmly in 3rd.

2. Kelley Wentworth (Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 2/7

Not much action from Kelley this week, but we do know that the vote put her on the wrong side of numbers. I thought for sure that Spencer would vote with Kelley this week and was surprised to see him swing back to the Jeremy/Tasha block. Kelley still has an idol, though, and she has proven her savvy game play to be on point.

1. Predicted Winner: Jeremy Collins (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 1/7

The dude is playing the perfect social game. Know one is really even floating his name as an option to be voted off! He has another idol, and if he gets to the end I can’t see any other contestant still in the game beating him. He surely has a lot of friends in the jury and has had very little blood on his hands throughout the game. Go, Jeremy!

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There you have it, folks! My rankings for the week.

To read my rankings from last week, click here.

Later this week I will delve into the multitude of scenarios that could occur on the finale, as well as attempt to break-down jury votes in my blog. Stay tunes!

Until next time,

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Survivor Rankings- Season 31 Second Chances, Episode 12

Folks- there are only two episodes remaining in Survivor Second Chances. I have no clue what I am going to do or how I will survive in the off-season!

I’ll probably have to binge San Juan del Sur since this past episode was basically a SJDS reunion!

Not only do we still have Keith, Kelley, and Jeremy, but Dale Wentworth and Val came back for the challenge! Was anyone else having major deja vu??

The things I am most excited about:

-Joe is gone! No, I do not dislike Joe.. but since I have ranked him least likely to win this game for three weeks in a row, his torch-snuff validated my power rankings. Still, Joe is a good guy and it would not shock me to see him come back for a 3rd chance.

-Kelley not only won the reward, she also won immunity. Kelley is truly getting the most out of her second chance. I mean, she didn’t even make the jury her first go-around! Go, Kelley!

– Jeremy and Val are having a baby boy! I’ve been on the fence about whether or not I am cheering for Jeremy, but this episode surely transformed me into a Jeremy fan! I don’t know what was more touching- Jeremy learning about baby boy or Jeremy giving his idol to Fishbach 😉

– Joe is okay! When he collapsed and then CBS went to commercial I was seriously scared. I did not want him to get med-evac’ed this late in the season after he had worked so hard. His collapse was reminiscent of Russell Swan’s collapse in Samoa and it scared me! Happy that Joe is good-to-go! (Aside from being voted out)

-Keith Nale randomly voted for Tasha? Does Keith Nale have any clue what is going on? Or did he just not want to vote for Joe? Or is he trying to make a plea for being the ultimate GOAT and everyone is going to take him to the end? I dunno.

-All Girls Alliance! Okay to be honest, I want Jeremy at the end so I hope Tasha decides against the all girls alliance. BUT- it seems to be to be Tasha’s best bet to go with Kelley, Kimmi, and Abi. So very excited to see how that plays out  next week.

-Another betrayal from Spencer. Joe surely thought Spencer would vote with him just as Stephen thought Spencer would vote with him the previous week. If Spencer makes it to the end, jury votes might be hard to come by. Regardless if he loves his girlfriend or not.

So let’s get right to the post-Episode 12 Player Rankings!

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Survivor Ranking 31

Pre-Merge Boot Order:

  1. Vytas Baskauskas (Ta Keo)
  2. Shirin Oskooi (Ta Keo)
  3. Peih-Gee Law (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  4. Jeff Varner (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  5. Monica Padilla (Bayon, Bayon)
  6. Terry Dietz (family emergency) (Ta Keo, Ta Keo)
  7. Woo Hwang (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo)

Post-Merge Boot Order, THE JURY:

  1. Kass McQuillen (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  2. Andrew Savage (Bayon, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  3. Kelly Wiglesworth (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  4. Ciera Eastin (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank 6/10
  5. Stephen Fishbach (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 2/10
  6. Joe Anglim (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank 8/8

Here are my power-ranking in order from least-likely to win to most-likely to win. These rankings are not intended to predict boot order.

I want to note here that I have read no spoilers and have no idea what the true outcome of the game will be.

7. Abi-Maria Gomes (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 7/8

Abi cannot win this game. I think it is possible for her to get to the end of this game as a GOAT, but I do not see her attaining any votes form the jury. It isn’t even a question of who she is up against- Abi will not win this game.

6. Keith Nale (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 4/8

I love Keith Nale and was excited to see him win the immunity challenge. However, Keith’s closest ally, Joe, left this week and Keith will have to rely on his other alliances which are not very strong. In turn, I think the only people that Keith would have a chance against in the final tribal are Kimmi and Abi. If it is Kimmi, Abi, and Keith sitting there on day 39- well that is the ultimate GOAT alliance and I think Kimmi would have a slight edge over Keith. Sorry Keith, I just do not think it is going to happen for you this time.

5. Kimmi Kappenberg (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 5/8

So randomly Kimmi wants an all girl’s alliance after ousting Monica Padilla for having the same idea weeks ago? Kimmi, dude, I thought you were Bayon strong? I believe that Kimmi is playing a much smarter game than she did in Season 2, but not smart enough to win her the million.

4. Tasha Fox (Bayon, Angkor, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 6/8

I actually think Tasha has a decent shot of winning the game. At this point she is in the perfect position of picking which group she wants to go with- all girls or Jeremy and Spencer. All girls seems to get Tasha the furthest but making that choice would burn bridges. I just don’t see her garnering enough votes in the end… I mean what does she really have on her resume?

3. Spencer Blesdoe (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 2/8

Spencer is burning bridges. With Joe out of the game, he does have a shot to win more immunities and make it to the end. However, I see a bitter jury in his future (led by Stephen and Joe?).

2. Kelley Wentworth (Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 3/8

Kelley has proven she is a physical beast as well as a strategic and savvy player. She surely has an outwit argument, an outplay argument, and if she makes it to the end, an outlast argument. Oh- and she still has a hidden immunity idol in her pocket!

Predicted Winner: Jeremy Collins (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 1/8

I am still placing Jeremy at the number 1 spot. He is so likable and has played a great social and strategic game that I think he is very difficult to beat. However, I do think it is a toss up between him, Spencer, and Kelley. Jeremy needs to hope that Tasha does not flip the vote on the side of the women this coming week or that will surely spell doom for Jeremy. Oh- and he still has a hidden immunity idol in his pocket!

There you have it- my rankings for this week! See you next week for more Survivor Cambodia Second Chances!

To read my rankings from last week, click here.

Until next time,

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Survivor Rankings- Season 31 Second Chances, Episode 10 & 11

This double feature was insane… I can honestly say there has not been a single boring episode this season!

Blindside.. blindside.. blindside!

After 31 seasons of any show- the ability to keep every single episode interesting and entertaining and keep the audience on their toes is pretty spectacular. Bravo CBS!

Perhaps the success of America casting this particular season will set a precedent that America will have more choices in Survivor casting… We will see!

(SPOILER ALERT-DON’T READ ANY FURTHER IF YOU HAVE NOT WATCHED THE EPISODES THAT PREMIERED ON NOVEMBER 25th, 2015)

The things I am most excited about:

-It is no secret that I am a big Ciera & Fishbach fan.. so this double episode was difficult for me 😦 However- both of them played hard and both went out at peace with the game that they played. According to their Ponderosa videos, neither one is bitter and they will surely advocate for the most deserving winner with the jury.

-Kelley Wentworth found another idol! Kelley is killing it this season and has to be moving up the ranks of my Top 10 Favorite Survivor Players ever.

-Jeremy played his idol for Stephen and still has another idol in his pocket.

-Joe finally lost an immunity challenge. Maybe there is hope that Joe will lose another immunity challenge? I have nothing against Joe and loved him in World’s Apart- but he certainly has an arrogant demeanor this season.

So, let’s get right to the post-Episodes 10&11 player rankings!

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Survivor Ranking 31

Pre-Merge Boot Order:

  1. Vytas Baskauskas (Ta Keo)
  2. Shirin Oskooi (Ta Keo)
  3. Peih-Gee Law (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  4. Jeff Varner (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  5. Monica Padilla (Bayon, Bayon)
  6. Terry Dietz (family emergency) (Ta Keo, Ta Keo)
  7. Woo Hwang (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo)

Post-Merge Boot Order, THE JURY:

  1. Kass McQuillen (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  2. Andrew Savage (Bayon, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  3. Kelly Wiglesworth (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  4. Ciera Eastin (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank 6/10
  5. Stephen Fishbach (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 2/10

Here are my power-ranking in order from least-likely to win to most-likely to win. These rankings are not intended to predict boot order.

I want to note here that I have read no spoilers and have no idea what the true outcome of the game will be.

8. Joe Anglim (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 10/10

I am going to keep Joe in the last spot this week. Okay- so if Joe does make it to the final tribal then he surely has a significant chance to win. He can rely on his sheer strength as an argument for the money . But when we look at the savvy players in this season, it is hard for me to believe that they will keep Joe in this game if he does not have immunity. I really thought this last episode was his episode to finally go to Ponderosa and reunite with his boy Savage and his girl Wigles, but perhaps the other players just though Fishbach was more of a strategic threat? Which I would agree with…

7. Abi-Maria Gomes (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 8/10

If this were a ranking of who-will-most-likely-be-at-the-final-tribal, then Abi would be number one. I think most people want to bring Abi to the end as a GOAT. However, her chances of actually winning this game are so super slim. Her social game isn’t great, she is annoying, and she hasn’t made any big strategic big moves. And, she called Stephen “Poopy Pants”.. grrr.

6. Tasha Fox (Bayon, Angkor, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 9/10

Stephen took Tasha on the reward and seemed to have won her back over to his alliance after losing her in the first vote of the episode. Unfortunately for Tasha, she was once again on the wrong side of the numbers and Stephen went home. So- Tasha has been on the wrong side of numbers a few episodes in a row now. Tasha is a strong player, but what has she done in this game to plead her case to the jury? Maybe we will see more from her, but right now I am seeing nada.

5.  Kimmi Kappenberg (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Prevoius Week Rank = 5/10

Kimmi is staying super loyal and this could be her lone argument for the million dollars (strategy-wise). It is hard to play a loyal game, especially considering this season is a hyper-accelerated New School version of Survivor. But Kimmi saw one of her biggest allies in the game, Stephen, leave this week and this does not bode well for KK.

4. Keith Nale (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 4/10

Keith is still truckin’ along. I heard him state twice this episode that “Joe is a big threat”. Aside from that, we aren’t hearing much from Keith. He is flying under the radar, but in a season of all-returnees who are playing hard, will this strategy be convincing enough for the million? I don’t think so.

3. Kelley Wentworth (Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 7/10

Kelley found another idol! I moved her way up on my rankings because I do believe her idol will bring her to the end of the game. Her previous idol play and her ability to scramble several times when on the bottom are great Survivor resume builders. It also appears that she orchestrated Fishbach’s blindside and essentially saved Joe from going home. Kelley is super-savvy and playing a heck of a game- I would love to see her win it all!

2. Spencer Blesdoe (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 2/10

Spencer- I have such mixed emotions about him this week! First off- I am ranking him at number 2 but it was a difficult decision and I was very conflicted about whether to put him at number 1. He is playing an excellent game- he is extremely intelligent and flexible and seems to be able to read his opponents well. I was shocked at his Stephen blindside because I believed Stephen and Spencer to be close. However, it seems that Stephen beating Spencer in the swim-off for the advantage and then beating him in the reward challenge changed Spencer’s mind about his alliance with Stephen. Both are highly cerebral players and Spencer might have seen Stephen as his biggest threat to his game.

If Spencer makes it to the end, he has built a great Survivor resume and could easily take the million.

Predicted Winner:  Jeremy Collins (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 1/10

Jeremy made a huge move in playing his idol for Stephen. Even though Stephen went home the next vote, Jeremy solidified his place as a power player. The only reason I ranked Jeremy ahead of Spencer is because he still has an idol in this game and because he has a solid alliance in Tasha and Kimmi- I do think that they will stick with him to the end.

There you have it- my rankings for this week! See you next week for more Survivor Cambodia Second Chances!

To read last weeks rankings, click here!

Until next time,

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Survivor Rankings- Season 31 Second Chances, Episode 9

Another solid episode of Survivor this week! Thank you, CBS- and do not ever stop producing this show ;)!

(SPOILER ALERT-DON’T READ ANY FURTHER IF YOU HAVE NOT WATCHED THE EPISODE THAT PREMIERED ON NOVEMBER 18th, 2015)

The things I am most excited about:

-Kelley, Ciera & Abi are still alive and happily using their “Coven” bloc to make big moves in the game!

-Stephen’s advantage! Not only can he steal a vote, he can cast an extra vote. This is potentially a game changer! #TeamStephen

-Jeremy has TWO hidden immunity idols. It is safe to say that he will be at the end of this game… I can’t imagine it any other way.

-Kelly Wiglesworth got the boot and has no chance at redemption from Borneo. I was so excited to see her play again but thoroughly disappointed with her lack of presence throughout the season. She seemed heavily influenced by Borneo and really determined to come in and play a game void of alliances and strategy.

However- as we all know, the game has greatly evolved since Borneo.

So, let’s get right to the post-Episode 9 player rankings!

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Survivor Ranking 31

Pre-Merge Boot Order:

  1. Vytas Baskauskas (Ta Keo)
  2. Shirin Oskooi (Ta Keo)
  3. Peih-Gee Law (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  4. Jeff Varner (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  5. Monica Padilla (Bayon, Bayon)
  6. Terry Dietz (family emergency) (Ta Keo, Ta Keo)
  7. Woo Hwang (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo)

Post-Merge Boot Order, THE JURY:

  1. Kass McQuillen (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  2. Andrew Savage (Bayon, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  3. Kelly Wiglesworth (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 10/11

Here are my power-ranking in order from least-likely to win to most-likely to win. These rankings are not intended to predict boot order.

I want to note here that I have read no spoilers and have no idea what the true outcome of the game will be.

10. Joe Anglim (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 11/11

What are the chances that Joe can win 9 more individual immunity challenges? Although I think he is an amazing competitor and could win several challenges, the odds are against him. He is a huge threat and we know that Stephen will take the first chance he gets to vote Joe out. I am sticking firm in my ranking that Joe is least likely to win this game. IF he somehow did win-out and make it to the end, he totally deserves the money.

9. Tasha Fox (Bayon, Angkor, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 8/11

Tasha wasn’t included in this week’s blindside of Kelly, and therefore out of the loop with some of her alliance members. I think this is going to really irritate her, and an emotional player never goes far in Survivor. Tasha is a strong player, but she may be gradually gravitating to the wrong side of the numbers. And I don’t think Tasha will have a strong case to make to the jury as of now.

8. Abi-Maria Gomes (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 9/11

Abi’s game post-merge is completely different than her pre-merge game. And good for her! Laying low, not ruffling feathers (at least we are not seeing it)… this is so not Abi! But maybe it will give her a better shot at winning this game? And she seems to be in a good ‘alliance bloc’ because I would think Ciera and Kelley would be targets before Abi. That being said, it is hard for me to imagine the jury giving the million to Abi.

7. Kelley Wentworth (Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 6/11

I would truly love to see Kelley win this game, but at this point I think it will be difficult for her to make it to the final tribal. The other players know she is super-savvy and I think she will be a target for the ‘other’ alliance before Ciera or Abi are targeted. That being said- I am still doing the Wentworth dance each week!

6. Ciera Eastin (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank 7/11

Ciera keeps moving up my list! She is super flexible and in a great position to add numbers to other voting blocs. She seems to have a working relationship with Stephen and she escaped the last two votes and was not even a main target. Go, Ciera!

5.  Kimmi Kappenberg (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Prevoius Week Rank = 4/11

Kimmi isn’t very flexible in the game- she has chosen her alliance and she is staying put. This could definitely hurt her as it seems this season is all about flexibility and who you are voting with that particular tribal. Kimmi isn’t happy that Kelly left the game and she seemed to be just as shocked by the blindside. I like Kimmi 2.0 and I think she has a chance to win, but I would not bet on her.

4. Keith Nale (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 5/11

Keith is strong and he doesn’t have any enemies. I’ve said it each week and I will say it again: Keith is a boss. He’s not on anyone’s radar at the moment- he should keep truckin’ along without any trouble. Or should I say  Tuk Tuk’n along ;)!

3. Spencer Blesdoe (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 1/11

The last two weeks I have predicted Spencer as the winner of this game. I am pushing him back to spot three this week, though, based on the recent episode. First of all, Jeremy has the second idol and is playing a flawlessly influential game, Jeremy is going to be very difficult to beat. Secondly, Stephen is also playing a strategic game and he has an advantage now. I won’t be shocked if Spencer wins- but he currently isn’t my pick to take the million :(.

2. Stephen Fishbach (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 3/11

It is no secret that I want to see Stephen win this game. I love the way he is playing- he has a strong social game and could probably outwit most of the players any day of the week. Stephen is flexible and we saw him convince Spencer and Jeremy to vote with the “Coven” bloc this week. AND now, Stephen has the advantage! I hope he uses this sooner rather than later to avoid any targets on his back. As long as Stephen stays two steps ahead of everyone else strategically, I think he can make it to the end and will have a strong argument to win the money.

Predicted Winner:  Jeremy Collins (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 2/11

Jeremy is playing a flawless game. He has TWO secret idols. No one has seriously discussed voting him out, and everyone really likes Jeremy. His social game is outstanding. Even though he turned on the large alliance this week and voted with Stephen & Spencer and the Coven, I can see him escaping all heat for this decision.

There you have it- my rankings for this week! See you next week for more Survivor Cambodia Second Chances!

To read last weeks rankings, click here!

Until next time,

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Survivor Rankings- Season 31 Second Chances, Episode 8

Wow! What. An. Episode.

(SPOILER ALERT-DON’T READ ANY FURTHER IF YOU HAVE NOT WATCHED THE EPISODE THAT PREMIERED ON NOVEMBER 9th, 2015)

Hidden Immunity Idols, blindsides, double ball challenges, several middle fingers, eye rolls for days and Keith Nale driving a Tuk Tuk on the beaches of Cambodia.

It doesn’t really get any better than that.

My hands still hurt from my vigorous applause of Kelley Wentworth and her outstanding use of the Hidden Immunity Idol. I’ve always been a Kelley Wentworth fan, even when she left Blood Vs. Water pre-jury. Episode 8 just proved that Kelley is here to play and she is a strategic force to be reckoned with!

So, let’s get right to the post-Episode 8 player rankings!

Survivor Ranking 31

Pre-Merge Boot Order:

  1. Vytas Baskauskas (Ta Keo)
  2. Shirin Oskooi (Ta Keo)
  3. Peih-Gee Law (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  4. Jeff Varner (Ta Keo, Angkor)
  5. Monica Padilla (Bayon, Bayon)
  6. Terry Dietz (family emergency) (Ta Keo, Ta Keo)
  7. Woo Hwang (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo)

Post-Merge Boot Order:

  1. Kass McQuillen (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun)
  2. Andrew Savage (Bayon, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun)

Here are my power-ranking in order from least-likely to win to most-likely to win. These rankings are not intended to predict boot order.

I want to note here that I have read no spoilers and have no idea what the true outcome of the game will be.

11. Joe Anglim (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 9/12

Survivor MacGuyver won another Immunity Challenge- shocker! But really, the moment he loses one of those, he’s gone. With each challenge that he wins, the target on his back grows larger and larger. I put him last because the one guy who truly had his back, Savage, was voted out. Who is going to protect Joe now? Unless Joe can win the next 8 Immunity Challenges, I just don’t think Joe has any shot of winning this game.

10. Kelly Wiglesworth (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 11/12

I suppose Kelly has finally redeemed herself from her disappointing rowing defeat to Gervase in Borneo- but this doesn’t do anything for her current game! I have yet to see Kelly establish any tight alliances or talk strategy. Even if she made it to the end, I can’t see her making a solid argument as to what she did in the game to earn the million.

9. Abi-Maria Gomes (Ta Keo, Angkor, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 12/12

I moved Abi up a bit this week due to the fact that she is all of a sudden laying low. I think it has been 3 weeks in a row that Abi has essentially been silent- except for taunting Andrew Savage as he left Tribal 🙂 I still don’t think Abi has a great shot, but I do not think she is last on the list, either. Do I dare say that I may kind of like Abi now?

8. Tasha Fox (Bayon, Angkor, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 7/12

Tasha is in a good alliance and a good spot, but I doubt she will have any friends on the jury, especially with Queen Kass ruling the roost in that arena. Tasha’s ability to win this game is foggy in my head right now, but I would not bet on her.

7. Ciera Eastin (Bayon, Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Orkun) Previous Week Rank 10/12

I am impressed with Ciera. She is still on the wrong side of the numbers, but she is proving that she is crafty and has connections beyond her current alliance of Kelley Wentworth and Abi. We saw Ciera talking to Stephen at the beginning of the episode and then talking to Joe mid-episode about a possible Stephen blindside. Obviously, she is still keeping lines of communication open, and this could bring her far.

6. Kelley Wentworth (Ta Keo, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 3/12

It is no secret that I am on (hashtag) Team Wentworth. But I moved her down in the rankings because she no longer has that Immunity Idol. Even though she played brilliantly this week, unless she finds another idol she is still on the wrong side of the numbers. So, let’s all pray to the Survivor Gods that Kelley somehow finds another idol! Or convinces Joe to start voting with her! Or just stays in the game as long as possible!

5. Keith Nale (Bayon, Ta Keo, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 6/12

Keith got some quality screen time this week. Keith handles balls like a boss. Keith drives the Tuk Tuk like a boss. Keith is a boss. And no one could possibly dislike Keith. So just like I said last week, I can’t see anyone bringing him to the end.

4. Kimmi Kappenberg (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Prevoius Week Rank = 5/12

We haven’t seen Kimmi do much since the Monica blindside. However, we know that Kimmi has built good alliances and she is on the right side of the numbers. I think Kimmi has a lot of game left in her!

3. Stephen Fishbach (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 2/12

I was on the edge of my seat this week in fear that we were going to lose Stephen! I am so happy he stuck around and avoided being idol’ed out of the game! With Savage out of the game- the one person truly targeting Stephen- Stephen’s odds of going to the end are good. However, Joe is still in the game and Joe knows that Stephen is targeting him. If Joe manages to win immunity and sways Ciera, Kelley and Abi to vote Stephen, we could see Stephen leave the game :(. Luckily, Jeremy seems to want Stephen around as was evident by his ability to shift the target away from Stephen this episode.

2. Jeremy Collins (Bayon, Bayon, Bayon, Orkun) Previous Week Rank = 4/12

No one knows that Jeremy has the idol and Jeremy seems to have a very deep and trusting alliance. We saw Jeremy convince the others to not vote for Stephen and instead target Wentworth. Even with Savage leaving as one of Jeremy’s ‘shields’, Jeremy still has strong ties with the other players and is playing a great social game. Jeremy could very easily win this whole thing!

Predicted Winner: Spencer Blesdoe (Ta Keo, Bayon, Ta Keo, Orkun)

This is the first week that our TVs were not flooded with Spencer. I kind of miss him! Spencer may have not made the big move this week, but he is one of the most strategic players in this game and it seems like he is finally safe and with the numbers. This is great for Spencer and I have no doubt that if he makes it to the end, he will win!

There you have it- my rankings for this week! See you next week for more Survivor Cambodia Second Chances!

To read last weeks rankings, click here!

Until next time,

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